Socialism in Venezuela on the elections in the PSUV
PSUV ON ELECTIONS
The process organized by the political leadership of the PSUV is an important lesson for democracy. First, a call is pending since 2006 when President Chavez himself spoke of the need to generate coherent ideological supporters of his government, thus ensuring progress in the consolidation of the Italian thinker Antonio Gramsci call the hegemonic bloc.
Secondly, this process opens up the space on the directionality of the principal socio-political party today. This is not just thinking what is the way to go, also includes the way it is perceived that way and that must mean a great discussion with the bases. Resolve the contradiction between the bases and the party bureaucracy is vital, not only for the future of the PSUV also for the progress of the Bolivarian project itself.
The dilemma of what to do is one of the main topics of discussion of the revolutionary parties. That choice try to be answered by Vladimir Ilyich Lenin in the preludes of the Russian Revolution and now aims to be answered by those serving in the PSUV. But as we point to two major thinkers of socialism to validate the process of democracy that must end in a large socio-political discussion, we note what we call dangers of this new consummate choice.
Leon Trotsky, said in the Revolution Betrayed (1936) that the mixture of the party structure with the state bureaucracy had killed the ability to critique and advance the revolutionary party. What Tronski concerned with this? He was referring to the gradual elimination of social leaders emerged next to the dynamism of the political transition from Czarist Russia to revolutionary Russia. In this passage is given a set of actions arising from the popular enthusiasm organization achieved by the proposed radical change in the October Revolution, but this was slowly numbed by the excessive zeal and control the party bureaucracy, which was stripped of his animosity revolutionary militants to replace obedience and self-interest of a new elite: the official bureaucracy. This risk is present in the results on Sunday. I disagree with the fact that, councilors, mayors, members of the state apparatus also move to control the party apparatus. This removes a space that can be occupied by those actors who are responsible for organizing social responses from their actions in the Land Committees, Water, Community Councils, tables energy techniques, members of the missions, to a set of actors who have gained prominence and now threatened by some of these "officials" are engaged only there to look after their own share of power. We must be fair to say that not all of these officials fall within this parameter, but many of them.
This danger, not only had been warned by Troskie. Gramsci himself had also said in his philosophical and political writings in the Journal of the Carceli (1929-1933) when he warned that the Italian Communist Party had become a party of officials and was no longer a revolutionary workers party.
The fact that the Congress ideology present this set of officials, causes you to lose the revolutionary impulse. This is so for one simple reason: the bureaucrat does not think the reality, only acts as a cog in the machinery of state, filling out paperwork, meeting procedures. Until that happens, the social revolutionary and committed actor has to interact with actual problems, to organize and deal at the same time. The logic of action of the actor involved is substantially less complicated than the official fossil. Troskie knew that, Gramsci and Rosa Luxemburg, to name just three (3) notorious Marxist thinkers. Even Iztvan Meszaros, who has just won the Freedom Award warns him by pointing to threats of this type of behavior in construction of socialism. Sunday
experience, indicates that those who have been elected to Congress will provide the foundation ideological future of the party and the revolution, must consider these dangers and threats that ended the twentieth century socialism and can be an ultimatum to XXI century socialism. Some time ago someone told me that the XXI century socialism did not exist, that is true. Nor was there liberalism and capitalism before Hobbes, Rousseau, Locke will think, so the commitment from all militant revolutionary is to think that reality, but seeing it from the experience of what happened - and their mistakes, in the twentieth century. We will wait to see if this conference ideological is able to visualize this problem. I have hope so.
Dr. Juan Eduardo Romero
Historian
18/11/2009
Tuesday, December 22, 2009
Benzocaine As A Delaying Cream
Socialism in Venezuela
SOCIALISM IN VENEZUELA: THE HIGHER THE
PSUV
The debate over the construction of socialism in Venezuela has gone through two actors really significant. One of them, the Movimiento al Socialismo (MAS) emerged in the early 70's of last century, the product of a division of the Communist Party of Venezuela (PCV). The other, the United Socialist Party of Venezuela (PSUV), emerged from a strategy of unity of forces posed by President Hugo Chavez immediately after his victory December 2006.
There is, in our humble opinion as a scholar of the history of ideas in Venezuela, a common trunk between the two projects: the denial of Soviet dogmatism or the so-called real socialism. Both the MAS and the PSUV, became manifest in the mouth of some of its main representatives (Teodoro Petkoff, Hugo Chavez) very strong criticism to the deviation of the CPSU (Communist Party of the Soviet Union), which led to the decision-making over limiting the debate and discussion, ending in the construction of a very rigid society, denying the revolutionary character of socialism proposed by Marx, in Capital and in other jobs.
The way they denied a difference between the two movements. While the MAS, initially defined as a socialist party Marxist-Leninist party affiliation, was gradually giving way to discussion on socialist construction to move by a reformist then ended and pragmatic structure is outdated today. The position exemplified by the attitude of former leaders of MAS, as Julio Montoya or my good friend William Barnett, who today are the social side - represented by A New Time, reflects an old argument that was raised internally MAS about the impossibility of building a socialist alternative to the hegemonic project AD and COPEI in the 70's and 80's, and therefore concluded that it was imperative to be subsumed under these political movements to be an option for power.
PSUV For his part, is also the dilemma of reform or revolution. And that situation should lead to a historical review ending and preventing MAS. On the one hand, certain elements of the structure of the PSUV are more dedicated to enjoy privileged conditions that result from the exercise hegemony - in the Gramscian sense, the power to build socialism. These sectors within the structure of the PSUV are deeply bureaucratic and fossilized as a threat to their privileges social organizational processes that occur under the figures of communities mobilized through water tables, power, community councils and others. In view of these reformers, lacking commitment and revolutionary ethics, it is essential to the enjoyment of power and use it for its own benefit.
there - and thank goodness this is the case, another section in the PSUV, structured in the ideological sense of the revolution, led by President Hugo Chavez and some other players who pose serious discussion about the construction of socialism. Priority for them is the process of building a cadre party, trained and hardened revolutionary ethic in which Che spoke Marx himself, while insisting on the organization and political education of citizens, as a condition of exercise participation. Leave holding the necessary review and changes in the relationships that make the actions of capital and labor. It is the path supported by Marx in the Grundrisse (the full title is Grundrisse der Kritik Oekonomie or Lines of Political Fundamental Critique of Political Economy, released in 1939 in Moscow) where he talks about the road to "socialist project" as a way leading to the dissolution of the conditions of exploitation and alienation of capitalism.
Marx's approach, which somehow is recovered by the truly revolutionary aspect of the PSUV led by Chavez, speaks of the need for a "universal development" of individuals in contrast to development "unidimensional" of capitalism, which relations are based alienation that allow the exploitation of man by man. It is, and in some ways this vision is embodied in the Plan Simón Bolívar (2007-2013) to build socius (friends, partners). This process involves a multiple action: first, the revolution of the productive and on the other, the revolution of consciousness on socialist education. It is this point, the mark of division between revolutionaries and reformists within the PSUV. The reformers are reluctant to change the objective conditions of capitalist exploitation, as this would mean the end of its enrichment facilities at the same time, resist the formation process that would make them "visible" to the rest of the militants really committed. Therefore, those who are active in the socialist construction next advocate training, discussion and construction of objective conditions of dissolution of the alienating nature of capitalism. We believe that the PSUV should carefully review the historical experience MAS, not to end as did their predecessors. History teaches life.
Dr. Juan Eduardo Romero
Historian
05/05/2009
Juane1208@gmail.com
SOCIALISM IN VENEZUELA: THE HIGHER THE
PSUV
The debate over the construction of socialism in Venezuela has gone through two actors really significant. One of them, the Movimiento al Socialismo (MAS) emerged in the early 70's of last century, the product of a division of the Communist Party of Venezuela (PCV). The other, the United Socialist Party of Venezuela (PSUV), emerged from a strategy of unity of forces posed by President Hugo Chavez immediately after his victory December 2006.
There is, in our humble opinion as a scholar of the history of ideas in Venezuela, a common trunk between the two projects: the denial of Soviet dogmatism or the so-called real socialism. Both the MAS and the PSUV, became manifest in the mouth of some of its main representatives (Teodoro Petkoff, Hugo Chavez) very strong criticism to the deviation of the CPSU (Communist Party of the Soviet Union), which led to the decision-making over limiting the debate and discussion, ending in the construction of a very rigid society, denying the revolutionary character of socialism proposed by Marx, in Capital and in other jobs.
The way they denied a difference between the two movements. While the MAS, initially defined as a socialist party Marxist-Leninist party affiliation, was gradually giving way to discussion on socialist construction to move by a reformist then ended and pragmatic structure is outdated today. The position exemplified by the attitude of former leaders of MAS, as Julio Montoya or my good friend William Barnett, who today are the social side - represented by A New Time, reflects an old argument that was raised internally MAS about the impossibility of building a socialist alternative to the hegemonic project AD and COPEI in the 70's and 80's, and therefore concluded that it was imperative to be subsumed under these political movements to be an option for power.
PSUV For his part, is also the dilemma of reform or revolution. And that situation should lead to a historical review ending and preventing MAS. On the one hand, certain elements of the structure of the PSUV are more dedicated to enjoy privileged conditions that result from the exercise hegemony - in the Gramscian sense, the power to build socialism. These sectors within the structure of the PSUV are deeply bureaucratic and fossilized as a threat to their privileges social organizational processes that occur under the figures of communities mobilized through water tables, power, community councils and others. In view of these reformers, lacking commitment and revolutionary ethics, it is essential to the enjoyment of power and use it for its own benefit.
there - and thank goodness this is the case, another section in the PSUV, structured in the ideological sense of the revolution, led by President Hugo Chavez and some other players who pose serious discussion about the construction of socialism. Priority for them is the process of building a cadre party, trained and hardened revolutionary ethic in which Che spoke Marx himself, while insisting on the organization and political education of citizens, as a condition of exercise participation. Leave holding the necessary review and changes in the relationships that make the actions of capital and labor. It is the path supported by Marx in the Grundrisse (the full title is Grundrisse der Kritik Oekonomie or Lines of Political Fundamental Critique of Political Economy, released in 1939 in Moscow) where he talks about the road to "socialist project" as a way leading to the dissolution of the conditions of exploitation and alienation of capitalism.
Marx's approach, which somehow is recovered by the truly revolutionary aspect of the PSUV led by Chavez, speaks of the need for a "universal development" of individuals in contrast to development "unidimensional" of capitalism, which relations are based alienation that allow the exploitation of man by man. It is, and in some ways this vision is embodied in the Plan Simón Bolívar (2007-2013) to build socius (friends, partners). This process involves a multiple action: first, the revolution of the productive and on the other, the revolution of consciousness on socialist education. It is this point, the mark of division between revolutionaries and reformists within the PSUV. The reformers are reluctant to change the objective conditions of capitalist exploitation, as this would mean the end of its enrichment facilities at the same time, resist the formation process that would make them "visible" to the rest of the militants really committed. Therefore, those who are active in the socialist construction next advocate training, discussion and construction of objective conditions of dissolution of the alienating nature of capitalism. We believe that the PSUV should carefully review the historical experience MAS, not to end as did their predecessors. History teaches life.
Dr. Juan Eduardo Romero
Historian
05/05/2009
Juane1208@gmail.com
How Much Is It To Go Bowling At Redrock Casino
PSUV: CRISIS IN THE ZULIA
PSUV: CRISIS IN THE ZULIA
The operation of the PSUV is highly contradictory, especially as it is geographical space Zulia . Yes it must be recognized the efforts of organization and mobilization advance between 2008 - 2009, we can not criticize the inaction in which it is immersed Chavez's party.
In Zulia, is a situation in another context should be exploited. Manuel Rosales's flight resulting in a solid blow the leadership structure of the opposition in the state. Although we have no doubt that the power structure has not been removed, the fact of the absence of Rosales has unleashed a struggle for control of the device between supporters of Paul Perez and those who crave to reach spaces.
output Rosales, unleashed the demons of personal desires in the PSUV Zulia, the various factions - that still exist within the party-are in the dilemma of coalesced around the leadership of Omar Prieto, Mayor of San Francisco or aligned with Louis Caldera, Mayor Mara. However, you can not help noticing that the PSUV operational disruption is evident in the city of Maracaibo. The structure political party has done nothing to regain electoral areas in the state capital, which is key to the realization of any electoral success. Until that happens, the Mayor - Manager-Daniel Ponn has launched a fierce presence in every parish, bringing forward investment plans, handing out perks and benefits, thereby seeking to become the official candidate of UNT, when convened by the CNE .
The PSUV has not responded to the governance of Ponn and much less to what was done by Paul Perez, who quietly increase political control inherited from Manuel Rosales. However, the development of the PSUV in Zulia, continues as usual: epileptic.
to continue that inaction, under the terrible internal competition, the outcome of any election will be the same: the defeat of Chavez. That is an indication that the ideological work has been - to say the least-poor. On the other hand, it appears that the proposal of the 3 R - revision, rectification and relaunch "has not been understood. Bers to say what we say: let's see if the Municipality of Maracaibo. The difference between Paul Perez and Di Martino was nearly 120,000 votes (333,955 vs. 219,256), with overwhelming defeats in popular parishes where it is assumed that the programs and the national government action act. In these areas, the opposition to Chavez has increased their presence, reducing the advantage that the PSUV had Antonio Borjas Romero and Francisco Eugenio Bustamante, while UNT widens lead in parishes as Chiquinquirá Aranza Christ, Bolivar, Coquivacoa, Cecilio Acosta. These figures speak of inaction in the state capital, a behavior that has no justification to consider that the main opposition leader is fled and the government increased economic activity through PDVSA.
The situation is even more disturbing to look at other municipalities where the PSUV won spaces. Such is the case of Cabimas, where the Mayor's recovery of control exercised by AD-UNT. However, the results of December 2008 when the PSUV candidate won with little advantage can be reversed if not consolidated local presence, yes will lead to the unification of the opposition parties control of the PSUV in Cabimas be lost. This case is an excellent example of the difficulties in consolidating government action in Zulia. Paradoxically analyzed as relying on the financial support of PDVSA, has not been achieved electoral success in the oil broker (Simón Bolívar, Lagunillas). The explanation must be sought in the perfect cultural manipulation that has been building opposition to appropriate identification with the socio-historical values \u200b\u200bin the region. As this happens, el PSUV sigue en luchas intestinas, sin sentido en cada espacio. Bajo ese escenario, rescatar al Zulia del control de la oposición luce, por decir lo menos, imposible. Habrá que ver sí la dirigencia regional tiene la voluntad de aplicar las 3 R, en mí parecer eso no ocurrirá.
Dr. Juan Eduardo Romero
Historiador
Juane1208@gmail.com
30/09/2009
PSUV: CRISIS IN THE ZULIA
The operation of the PSUV is highly contradictory, especially as it is geographical space Zulia . Yes it must be recognized the efforts of organization and mobilization advance between 2008 - 2009, we can not criticize the inaction in which it is immersed Chavez's party.
In Zulia, is a situation in another context should be exploited. Manuel Rosales's flight resulting in a solid blow the leadership structure of the opposition in the state. Although we have no doubt that the power structure has not been removed, the fact of the absence of Rosales has unleashed a struggle for control of the device between supporters of Paul Perez and those who crave to reach spaces.
output Rosales, unleashed the demons of personal desires in the PSUV Zulia, the various factions - that still exist within the party-are in the dilemma of coalesced around the leadership of Omar Prieto, Mayor of San Francisco or aligned with Louis Caldera, Mayor Mara. However, you can not help noticing that the PSUV operational disruption is evident in the city of Maracaibo. The structure political party has done nothing to regain electoral areas in the state capital, which is key to the realization of any electoral success. Until that happens, the Mayor - Manager-Daniel Ponn has launched a fierce presence in every parish, bringing forward investment plans, handing out perks and benefits, thereby seeking to become the official candidate of UNT, when convened by the CNE .
The PSUV has not responded to the governance of Ponn and much less to what was done by Paul Perez, who quietly increase political control inherited from Manuel Rosales. However, the development of the PSUV in Zulia, continues as usual: epileptic.
to continue that inaction, under the terrible internal competition, the outcome of any election will be the same: the defeat of Chavez. That is an indication that the ideological work has been - to say the least-poor. On the other hand, it appears that the proposal of the 3 R - revision, rectification and relaunch "has not been understood. Bers to say what we say: let's see if the Municipality of Maracaibo. The difference between Paul Perez and Di Martino was nearly 120,000 votes (333,955 vs. 219,256), with overwhelming defeats in popular parishes where it is assumed that the programs and the national government action act. In these areas, the opposition to Chavez has increased their presence, reducing the advantage that the PSUV had Antonio Borjas Romero and Francisco Eugenio Bustamante, while UNT widens lead in parishes as Chiquinquirá Aranza Christ, Bolivar, Coquivacoa, Cecilio Acosta. These figures speak of inaction in the state capital, a behavior that has no justification to consider that the main opposition leader is fled and the government increased economic activity through PDVSA.
The situation is even more disturbing to look at other municipalities where the PSUV won spaces. Such is the case of Cabimas, where the Mayor's recovery of control exercised by AD-UNT. However, the results of December 2008 when the PSUV candidate won with little advantage can be reversed if not consolidated local presence, yes will lead to the unification of the opposition parties control of the PSUV in Cabimas be lost. This case is an excellent example of the difficulties in consolidating government action in Zulia. Paradoxically analyzed as relying on the financial support of PDVSA, has not been achieved electoral success in the oil broker (Simón Bolívar, Lagunillas). The explanation must be sought in the perfect cultural manipulation that has been building opposition to appropriate identification with the socio-historical values \u200b\u200bin the region. As this happens, el PSUV sigue en luchas intestinas, sin sentido en cada espacio. Bajo ese escenario, rescatar al Zulia del control de la oposición luce, por decir lo menos, imposible. Habrá que ver sí la dirigencia regional tiene la voluntad de aplicar las 3 R, en mí parecer eso no ocurrirá.
Dr. Juan Eduardo Romero
Historiador
Juane1208@gmail.com
30/09/2009
Something To Put In Your Shoes To Make You Higher
Chavez, Vargas Llosa and Intellectuals
CHÁVEZ, VARGAS LLOSA Y LOS INTELECTUALES
La realización del Foro de CEDICE sobre Libertad y Democracia en Caracas, fue propicia para reunir a otro grupo de intelectuales latinoamericanos de izquierda. Se trata sin duda de la demostración que nuestro país es el epicentro de un muy serio debate político about the prospects of political change.
The nature of the meeting provided to delve on the issue of the relationship between political discourse, discourse of power and handling. When it comes to political discourse, we refer to forms of reproduction of political power, domination or abuse of power, understood as the ability to modify the behavior of another. In that sense, the discourse of power is an expression of social relations expressed through various media (visual, written, espot propaganda, etc.) and tends to be manipulated, understood as a communicative and interactional practice through which the handler has control, or intends to do, about other people. The handling, power and abuse involving this. The question would be: what is the relationship between political discourse, discourse of power and handling with the visit of intellectuals to Venezuela? The answer is given by the context and the text for the production of speech acts of the actors involved: President Hugo Chávez, the intellectual Mario Vargas Llosa, Jorge Castañeda, Enrique Klause, Fernando Buen Abad, Luis Brito García and Roberto Hernández Montoya . This is a moment or socio-political situation where a group of actors agree on media coverage - print and audiovisual-through which concepts and categories that emit can achieve the conviction of another.
political discourse as a discourse of power - or counter-is essential to "convince" around a position, political project or perception of reality. The discourse of power is to exercise control over the minds of the recipients of this discourse is key for those actors who have access to the media. It is certainly the case for all the nominees. However, the positions of one and the others vary. While Chavez Montoya Hernández Brito Garcia and defend a model of rupture with the logic of capitalist domination, Vargas Llosa, Klause Castaneda and lean toward liberal late-capitalist model. This means that opposing players try to use their access to the media to convince the general public.
We're talking about a power struggle in its clearest expression. And that struggle was carried out through the media. Chavez, Montoya and Brown used the national system of public, while Vargas Llosa and private media company (Globovisión, El Nacional, El Universal, among others). Such methods, made use of manipulation through the use of short-term memory (STM) and long-term memory (LTM). The MCP seeks immediate analysis that allow perception the fact without deep interpretations. The MLP, on the contrary, seeks knowledge, attitudes and ideology. The MCP is a step to consolidate positions that remain in the MLP. To do this, use is made of handling, presenting strategies that include: one, emphasize the own positions, the speaker's moral superiority and their sources, and thus the inferiority of the other. This element is clear in the interview that El Nacional (Sunday 31/05/2009, N-8) Vargas Llosa makes when he says, "is a very prototypical - (Chavez) - Latin American and Third World ... and is a general problem for truly democratic culture to thrive. " That speech, Chavez presented a historic setback in Latin American history and that minimizes its political value.
Two, focus on the new belief that the manipulator - Vargas Llosa, is intended to be accepted. In the case of that interview, it is submitted to Chavez and his model of democracy as a historical accident, as a model of the traditional left which is dangerous to coexistence: "There is a space in which the left and right confused if they are democratic and if they are liberal, so there are ways to fight extreme left represented by Chavez. " Three discredit sources or alternative beliefs, the Peruvian writer did when referring to Chavez and the proposal for debate said: "" He never seriously proposed to have an exchange has never accepted (...) discuss with anyone, has always been a monologue autistic "(BBC World). This was looking less serious not only to the positions of president, also his own political status as an advocate for a model of participatory democracy. Finally, the fourth strategy of manipulation is given by the appeal of ideologies, attitudes and emotions relevant to the recipients of the speech. Vargas Llosa uses a position where he and intellectuals who were accompanying him are the representation of dialogue - which is a value essence of democracy "but the" other "- Chavez and company, are not prone to it:" We are for dialogue, what we stand for is dialogue, rationality, laying down their passion for politics "(BBC World 29 / 05/2009).
The press and broadcast media, close to the opposition to Chavez's visit finally took the group of intellectuals led by Vargas Llosa to raise an array of opinion noted several elements: 1) Chavez is a danger for Latin America, 2) the democratic model proposed by his government is deeply contrary to the values \u200b\u200band cultural elements of Latin, 3) is a theoretical inability to define XXI century socialism. That strategy, we insist, in the MLP seeks to impact the citizens, widening the discursive matrices are woven into the network of media - print and broadcast-aligned with liberal capitalism. It is therefore essential to remove the matrices used to build the manipulation of the media, seeking to justify and legitimize the action itself while it discredits that of "other." Such tampering is firmly allied with the academic, trying to be implicated in the so-called "episodic memory" that is associated with the historical identity. It aims to produce generalizations who do not seek to inquire into the conceptual elements implicit in discursive statements of the opponent, however, the primary objective is the lightness in the treatment of subjects whose ideological content is essential. A clear example is shown by another guest Plinio Mendoza Apuleius, when referring to the XXI Century Socialism establishing an association - inaccurate, between the model proposed by Chávez and the Real Socialism failed, employing the reference of "communism "" Socialism of the XXI century "advocated by the national government is not so, but" what is commonly known as communism, and that's the most unusual thing that you can offer to a country after the failure of this model in the twentieth century "(BBC News 29/05/2009).
This partnership seeks to influence the" episodic memory "- or historical, so that the reader of the statements immediately think of Colombian journalist that the model proposed by the president of Venezuela tends - unstoppable-the failure, as happened with the USSR. The manipulation is based on the use of the beliefs of the recipients to exercise mind control, which seeks to dominate the actions receptor based on those same beliefs manipulated. Therefore, the debate about the role of the media is not a trivial matter, however the real challenge of the Bolivarian process at the present time is to expose this manipulation, the effects on volunteering and participation around the model suggested in the Bolivarian project, can be fatal.
handling In this context, the generation and dissemination of print and broadcast media for political discourse in itself is a reinforcement of their own manipulation. This is why we see headlines like the El Universal (Sunday 31/05/2009) in the column that journalist Roberto Giusti entitled: Why Chavez crumpled to the debate with Mario Vargas Llosa. The overall strategy of manipulation is to present a situation so that this - out of line with reality-match interests and perceptions that are intended to be transmitted to the receivers. It looks raised - as manipulative, given that dominant - or at least those who had hegemonic control in the past to expand their control of power, generating information, education and other social practices that aim to influence the knowledge of receivers about reality, the worst part is that this process is carried out under open practices that are assumed to be fully legitimate under the guise of "freedom of expression." This will transgress social norms of ethics, balance and fairness, creating an illegitimate communication, to favor only one way to represent reality.
No doubt, review the content of the chronicle of Roberto Giusti, we see clearly endorsed the items noted. The journalist, using the principle of freedom - which is a fundamental part of the justification of the capitalist model "says that the cause of the failure to realize the debate among intellectuals was Chávez himself and not the resistance of the intellectuals of the right to discuss with their peers. Giusti states bluntly that "the root cause that led him (Chavez) to respond to a line out the characteristics of the autocrat, used to order and be obeyed, to talk and not listen and sentenced without the right to reply" (El Universal 31/05/2009 1-2). The handling is manifested by a distortion of reality, and it disengages the reality to fit the goal of dominating the perception of the receptors, suggesting that the debate was conducted by the "fear" of Chávez to discuss and hear opposing ideas. They are insisting on ignoring those who did not show Alo Presidente space were the intellectuals headed by Vargas Llosa, and that situation is replaced by the representation of "cowardice and fear" the debate in conditions of freedom.
This completes the transformation of apparent reality. The fantasy that replaces reality, and all with the consent of the audiovisual media and printed perfectly articulated in the course of manipulation.
Dr. Juan Eduardo Romero
Historian
Juane1208@gmail.com
01/06/2009
CHÁVEZ, VARGAS LLOSA Y LOS INTELECTUALES
La realización del Foro de CEDICE sobre Libertad y Democracia en Caracas, fue propicia para reunir a otro grupo de intelectuales latinoamericanos de izquierda. Se trata sin duda de la demostración que nuestro país es el epicentro de un muy serio debate político about the prospects of political change.
The nature of the meeting provided to delve on the issue of the relationship between political discourse, discourse of power and handling. When it comes to political discourse, we refer to forms of reproduction of political power, domination or abuse of power, understood as the ability to modify the behavior of another. In that sense, the discourse of power is an expression of social relations expressed through various media (visual, written, espot propaganda, etc.) and tends to be manipulated, understood as a communicative and interactional practice through which the handler has control, or intends to do, about other people. The handling, power and abuse involving this. The question would be: what is the relationship between political discourse, discourse of power and handling with the visit of intellectuals to Venezuela? The answer is given by the context and the text for the production of speech acts of the actors involved: President Hugo Chávez, the intellectual Mario Vargas Llosa, Jorge Castañeda, Enrique Klause, Fernando Buen Abad, Luis Brito García and Roberto Hernández Montoya . This is a moment or socio-political situation where a group of actors agree on media coverage - print and audiovisual-through which concepts and categories that emit can achieve the conviction of another.
political discourse as a discourse of power - or counter-is essential to "convince" around a position, political project or perception of reality. The discourse of power is to exercise control over the minds of the recipients of this discourse is key for those actors who have access to the media. It is certainly the case for all the nominees. However, the positions of one and the others vary. While Chavez Montoya Hernández Brito Garcia and defend a model of rupture with the logic of capitalist domination, Vargas Llosa, Klause Castaneda and lean toward liberal late-capitalist model. This means that opposing players try to use their access to the media to convince the general public.
We're talking about a power struggle in its clearest expression. And that struggle was carried out through the media. Chavez, Montoya and Brown used the national system of public, while Vargas Llosa and private media company (Globovisión, El Nacional, El Universal, among others). Such methods, made use of manipulation through the use of short-term memory (STM) and long-term memory (LTM). The MCP seeks immediate analysis that allow perception the fact without deep interpretations. The MLP, on the contrary, seeks knowledge, attitudes and ideology. The MCP is a step to consolidate positions that remain in the MLP. To do this, use is made of handling, presenting strategies that include: one, emphasize the own positions, the speaker's moral superiority and their sources, and thus the inferiority of the other. This element is clear in the interview that El Nacional (Sunday 31/05/2009, N-8) Vargas Llosa makes when he says, "is a very prototypical - (Chavez) - Latin American and Third World ... and is a general problem for truly democratic culture to thrive. " That speech, Chavez presented a historic setback in Latin American history and that minimizes its political value.
Two, focus on the new belief that the manipulator - Vargas Llosa, is intended to be accepted. In the case of that interview, it is submitted to Chavez and his model of democracy as a historical accident, as a model of the traditional left which is dangerous to coexistence: "There is a space in which the left and right confused if they are democratic and if they are liberal, so there are ways to fight extreme left represented by Chavez. " Three discredit sources or alternative beliefs, the Peruvian writer did when referring to Chavez and the proposal for debate said: "" He never seriously proposed to have an exchange has never accepted (...) discuss with anyone, has always been a monologue autistic "(BBC World). This was looking less serious not only to the positions of president, also his own political status as an advocate for a model of participatory democracy. Finally, the fourth strategy of manipulation is given by the appeal of ideologies, attitudes and emotions relevant to the recipients of the speech. Vargas Llosa uses a position where he and intellectuals who were accompanying him are the representation of dialogue - which is a value essence of democracy "but the" other "- Chavez and company, are not prone to it:" We are for dialogue, what we stand for is dialogue, rationality, laying down their passion for politics "(BBC World 29 / 05/2009).
The press and broadcast media, close to the opposition to Chavez's visit finally took the group of intellectuals led by Vargas Llosa to raise an array of opinion noted several elements: 1) Chavez is a danger for Latin America, 2) the democratic model proposed by his government is deeply contrary to the values \u200b\u200band cultural elements of Latin, 3) is a theoretical inability to define XXI century socialism. That strategy, we insist, in the MLP seeks to impact the citizens, widening the discursive matrices are woven into the network of media - print and broadcast-aligned with liberal capitalism. It is therefore essential to remove the matrices used to build the manipulation of the media, seeking to justify and legitimize the action itself while it discredits that of "other." Such tampering is firmly allied with the academic, trying to be implicated in the so-called "episodic memory" that is associated with the historical identity. It aims to produce generalizations who do not seek to inquire into the conceptual elements implicit in discursive statements of the opponent, however, the primary objective is the lightness in the treatment of subjects whose ideological content is essential. A clear example is shown by another guest Plinio Mendoza Apuleius, when referring to the XXI Century Socialism establishing an association - inaccurate, between the model proposed by Chávez and the Real Socialism failed, employing the reference of "communism "" Socialism of the XXI century "advocated by the national government is not so, but" what is commonly known as communism, and that's the most unusual thing that you can offer to a country after the failure of this model in the twentieth century "(BBC News 29/05/2009).
This partnership seeks to influence the" episodic memory "- or historical, so that the reader of the statements immediately think of Colombian journalist that the model proposed by the president of Venezuela tends - unstoppable-the failure, as happened with the USSR. The manipulation is based on the use of the beliefs of the recipients to exercise mind control, which seeks to dominate the actions receptor based on those same beliefs manipulated. Therefore, the debate about the role of the media is not a trivial matter, however the real challenge of the Bolivarian process at the present time is to expose this manipulation, the effects on volunteering and participation around the model suggested in the Bolivarian project, can be fatal.
handling In this context, the generation and dissemination of print and broadcast media for political discourse in itself is a reinforcement of their own manipulation. This is why we see headlines like the El Universal (Sunday 31/05/2009) in the column that journalist Roberto Giusti entitled: Why Chavez crumpled to the debate with Mario Vargas Llosa. The overall strategy of manipulation is to present a situation so that this - out of line with reality-match interests and perceptions that are intended to be transmitted to the receivers. It looks raised - as manipulative, given that dominant - or at least those who had hegemonic control in the past to expand their control of power, generating information, education and other social practices that aim to influence the knowledge of receivers about reality, the worst part is that this process is carried out under open practices that are assumed to be fully legitimate under the guise of "freedom of expression." This will transgress social norms of ethics, balance and fairness, creating an illegitimate communication, to favor only one way to represent reality.
No doubt, review the content of the chronicle of Roberto Giusti, we see clearly endorsed the items noted. The journalist, using the principle of freedom - which is a fundamental part of the justification of the capitalist model "says that the cause of the failure to realize the debate among intellectuals was Chávez himself and not the resistance of the intellectuals of the right to discuss with their peers. Giusti states bluntly that "the root cause that led him (Chavez) to respond to a line out the characteristics of the autocrat, used to order and be obeyed, to talk and not listen and sentenced without the right to reply" (El Universal 31/05/2009 1-2). The handling is manifested by a distortion of reality, and it disengages the reality to fit the goal of dominating the perception of the receptors, suggesting that the debate was conducted by the "fear" of Chávez to discuss and hear opposing ideas. They are insisting on ignoring those who did not show Alo Presidente space were the intellectuals headed by Vargas Llosa, and that situation is replaced by the representation of "cowardice and fear" the debate in conditions of freedom.
This completes the transformation of apparent reality. The fantasy that replaces reality, and all with the consent of the audiovisual media and printed perfectly articulated in the course of manipulation.
Dr. Juan Eduardo Romero
Historian
Juane1208@gmail.com
01/06/2009
Landing Strip Wax Archive
VENEZUELA: 10 YEARS OF SOCIO-POLITICAL SETTING
VENEZUELA: 10 YEARS OF SOCIO-POLITICAL SETTING
The obsession dates can not see the process in context. Yeah well, there are ten (10) years after the adoption of the Constitution, can not lose sight of the overall dynamics of socio-political setting. 1st place, all this is framed within a broader process of depletion of the forms of politics that prevailed from the 2nd half of the twentieth century. It is an approach that emphasizes the "virtue" of systems of political representation, through which it takes "necessary" requirement of distance from citizen participation, by restricting only upon election. It is no accident
observe and Latin America as a whole these forms of articulation of democratic life ended in conflict and mobilization of great weight, as happened in Caracas and Buenos Aires in the late 80's, the twentieth century. Political systems based on corporate relationships, where large pressure groups (economic, political, union) established partnerships on which shared the benefits of capitalist rent, could not keep that trust and forced peace and gave to their own conflicts and contradictions they generate.
In 2nd place, you can not lose sight of the fact that changes in the forms of democratic governance resulted in increased demands for direct participation of the groups. We analyze the new meaning is given to political citizenship and the concept of popular sovereignty. Increasingly became more common in the final years of the twentieth century, the demands of increased opportunities for coordination and participation. The resistance factor to this requirement speaks of the emergence of the phenomenon of "anti" as a rejection of forms of representation of the historical parties.
In 3rd place, the disastrous effects of neoliberal economic system settings and architecture of the National Government is another element that explains the historical changes generated. These three (3) briefly mentioned dynamics are significant for understanding the socio-political setting that comes with the Constituent Assembly in Venezuela. On the other hand, we can not fail to note the impact that the constitutional process in Colombia in 1991. It is understood that kicks off what is called the New Latin American constitutionalism, which proposes that constitutions are not perfect bodies and unchanging over time, instead must be adjusted periodically to allow its adaptation to social change processes. In our case, the Constitution sealed a historic lack of rights that had since independence. Processes linked to three unsolved problems, such as access to property, the issue of political participation and real equality in society, are treated in the Constitution of 1999 and have allowed a very significant dynamic in the development of citizenship.
must not fail to note, that this process of socio-political adjustment was possible because the joint a discourse of change, embodied in the figure of Chávez with expectations of improvement of a population whose strata D and E, came to become the key constituency in the Venezuelan political process. The capacity of the Chavez speech, to articulate these demands is what has made possible his stay in power, so look closely at the discontented citizens expressing over such issues as quality of life, the lack of response to their demands The slowness of the state apparatus should be called a warning to those who are aligned on the side of the Bolivarian revolution.
Ten years later, the commitment to the construction and articulation of a society actually modify the conditions of appropriation and exploitation of man by man, remains the driving force behind the reflection, but in the meantime has been articulating a dangerous sector for the continuation of this process: the Bolibourgeoisie. It is the reformer who was dressed in red and takes advantage of his condition, is the official bureaucrat, the deputy who is not accountable to their constituents, so is the danger of more of the same. Ten years later we have to think about what can and what has been, to do so is to assume the title of the statement by Trotsky in his work of 1936: The Revolution Betrayed.
Dr. Juan Eduardo Romero
Juane1208@gmail.com Historian
VENEZUELA: 10 YEARS OF SOCIO-POLITICAL SETTING
The obsession dates can not see the process in context. Yeah well, there are ten (10) years after the adoption of the Constitution, can not lose sight of the overall dynamics of socio-political setting. 1st place, all this is framed within a broader process of depletion of the forms of politics that prevailed from the 2nd half of the twentieth century. It is an approach that emphasizes the "virtue" of systems of political representation, through which it takes "necessary" requirement of distance from citizen participation, by restricting only upon election. It is no accident
observe and Latin America as a whole these forms of articulation of democratic life ended in conflict and mobilization of great weight, as happened in Caracas and Buenos Aires in the late 80's, the twentieth century. Political systems based on corporate relationships, where large pressure groups (economic, political, union) established partnerships on which shared the benefits of capitalist rent, could not keep that trust and forced peace and gave to their own conflicts and contradictions they generate.
In 2nd place, you can not lose sight of the fact that changes in the forms of democratic governance resulted in increased demands for direct participation of the groups. We analyze the new meaning is given to political citizenship and the concept of popular sovereignty. Increasingly became more common in the final years of the twentieth century, the demands of increased opportunities for coordination and participation. The resistance factor to this requirement speaks of the emergence of the phenomenon of "anti" as a rejection of forms of representation of the historical parties.
In 3rd place, the disastrous effects of neoliberal economic system settings and architecture of the National Government is another element that explains the historical changes generated. These three (3) briefly mentioned dynamics are significant for understanding the socio-political setting that comes with the Constituent Assembly in Venezuela. On the other hand, we can not fail to note the impact that the constitutional process in Colombia in 1991. It is understood that kicks off what is called the New Latin American constitutionalism, which proposes that constitutions are not perfect bodies and unchanging over time, instead must be adjusted periodically to allow its adaptation to social change processes. In our case, the Constitution sealed a historic lack of rights that had since independence. Processes linked to three unsolved problems, such as access to property, the issue of political participation and real equality in society, are treated in the Constitution of 1999 and have allowed a very significant dynamic in the development of citizenship.
must not fail to note, that this process of socio-political adjustment was possible because the joint a discourse of change, embodied in the figure of Chávez with expectations of improvement of a population whose strata D and E, came to become the key constituency in the Venezuelan political process. The capacity of the Chavez speech, to articulate these demands is what has made possible his stay in power, so look closely at the discontented citizens expressing over such issues as quality of life, the lack of response to their demands The slowness of the state apparatus should be called a warning to those who are aligned on the side of the Bolivarian revolution.
Ten years later, the commitment to the construction and articulation of a society actually modify the conditions of appropriation and exploitation of man by man, remains the driving force behind the reflection, but in the meantime has been articulating a dangerous sector for the continuation of this process: the Bolibourgeoisie. It is the reformer who was dressed in red and takes advantage of his condition, is the official bureaucrat, the deputy who is not accountable to their constituents, so is the danger of more of the same. Ten years later we have to think about what can and what has been, to do so is to assume the title of the statement by Trotsky in his work of 1936: The Revolution Betrayed.
Dr. Juan Eduardo Romero
Juane1208@gmail.com Historian
Inebrya Ice Cream Blue
ROSALES: RELIGION, HISTORY AND HANDLING
ROSALES: RELIGION, HISTORY AND HANDLING
Yes we accept that power - following the definition of Max Weber, is the ability to modify the behavior of others by a group of individuals, we must also accept that the exercise While power itself implies notions of violence, may not always be based on market mechanisms to achieve the conviction. In many cases, those in power make use of various cultural constructs, ideological and historical. Is that the case of Manuel Rosales and the current governor of Zulia, Pablo Perez.
Identifying underlying the official propaganda of the Interior, in the sense that the political representatives of the party Un Nuevo Tiempo - Manuel Pablo Pérez Rosales first and currently, are the embodiment of Zulia, is a manifestation of the maxim that we announced at the beginning. All tissue
discourse of official actions, is structured in the distinct cultural insistence of Zulia to the rest of the country. In practice we must recognize that differentiality, no doubt because of the peculiarities of Zulia, though without seeming contradiction, this recognition does not mean we share the representation that seeks to build a sense of alienation towards the Venezuelans themselves. To this end, we have structured a very logical Character manipulation identity of Zulia, fed from historical research and properly supported from the official apparatus of our regional organization, mixing elements of historical, ideological and religious.
Historically, we know that the historical space Maracaibo - as we speak of the historical region that includes the current state of Zulia and the states of Mérida, Táchira and Trujillo, as well as part of Lara and Falcon "had a strength derived from the impact of the port Maracaibo acquired since the beginning of the seventeenth century, as a result of having served out the goods and products coming from the Andes. This trade, combined with the fact that our state takes the form of a horseshoe, by all the surrounding physical - to the west the Sierra de Perija, south-eastern Andean Cordillera and the Lara-Falcon system, affected the isolation of this particular historical space and the limited contact with the rest of the territory of the Captaincy General of Venezuela and the later republic. About this isolation and the strength - insist on it, we developed a multi-elite, their social ties, cultural, political and economic use - and use-that prosperity for their own benefit. The oft-named autonomy and identity of Zulia, was and is an excuse for their own benefit of that elite, who framed regionalism has subjugated, exploited, and enjoyment of wealth without any scruples. We have said that Rosales - just like Jorge Venancio Pulgar-Sutherland and have employed the enormous historical pride of Zulia for their own purposes. Have called on citizens of Zulia to deal with the central power in a "supposed" self-defense and ended up leaving those who promised to defend.
The obvious question is how this phenomenon has been generated?. Both in the nineteenth century and in the final years of the twentieth century and the beginning of this century, has built an interpretative framework, understood as a set of rules, rituals and symbols used to justify the hegemony of the elite multifunctional. The religious cult of the Virgin of Chiquinquirá, the formal structure of the Catholic Church, the cultural industries controlled by that elite, and the ability to handle economic served - and serves, to associate them with the Zulia. It is interesting to see how propaganda and Pablo Pérez Rosales speaks of the government of Zulia and the means employed in the state song to accompany the release of their works. It is known one of those ads, which for much of its length it does is go with the pictures of works, roads and alterations made by the executive with Anthem. We find there a suggested message: those who Zulia govern are the "others" are explicitly presented as perpetrators of "this Zulia. Anyone who claims to draw on those political leaders any criticism, merely attack the Zulia. Thus we see how to construct an identification between the political representative and the identity of Zulia. That strategy is not new, insist on it-it was implemented in the nineteenth century with success, and is again made with the consent and advice of a group of intellectuals and historians - of great respect and esteem for me, as part of Institutional support team Pablo Pérez y Manuel Rosales. The worst of it is that through this partnership, manipulation concealed the interest of promoting deep feelings of the Venezuelan differential across and from there, holding ideas of secession or autonomy for the territorial integrity risky.
is to feel that there is a great "injustice" manifested by the contribution it makes and receives Zulia thereby seeks to mobilize the Zulia "in defense of the same." This defense is framed in political action of the regional government and their political heads, who appear as "real" champions of the identity of Zulia, when in fact they only defend their own economic interests.
Dr. Juan Eduardo Romero 26/05/2009
Juane1208@gmail.com
historian
ROSALES: RELIGION, HISTORY AND HANDLING
Yes we accept that power - following the definition of Max Weber, is the ability to modify the behavior of others by a group of individuals, we must also accept that the exercise While power itself implies notions of violence, may not always be based on market mechanisms to achieve the conviction. In many cases, those in power make use of various cultural constructs, ideological and historical. Is that the case of Manuel Rosales and the current governor of Zulia, Pablo Perez.
Identifying underlying the official propaganda of the Interior, in the sense that the political representatives of the party Un Nuevo Tiempo - Manuel Pablo Pérez Rosales first and currently, are the embodiment of Zulia, is a manifestation of the maxim that we announced at the beginning. All tissue
discourse of official actions, is structured in the distinct cultural insistence of Zulia to the rest of the country. In practice we must recognize that differentiality, no doubt because of the peculiarities of Zulia, though without seeming contradiction, this recognition does not mean we share the representation that seeks to build a sense of alienation towards the Venezuelans themselves. To this end, we have structured a very logical Character manipulation identity of Zulia, fed from historical research and properly supported from the official apparatus of our regional organization, mixing elements of historical, ideological and religious.
Historically, we know that the historical space Maracaibo - as we speak of the historical region that includes the current state of Zulia and the states of Mérida, Táchira and Trujillo, as well as part of Lara and Falcon "had a strength derived from the impact of the port Maracaibo acquired since the beginning of the seventeenth century, as a result of having served out the goods and products coming from the Andes. This trade, combined with the fact that our state takes the form of a horseshoe, by all the surrounding physical - to the west the Sierra de Perija, south-eastern Andean Cordillera and the Lara-Falcon system, affected the isolation of this particular historical space and the limited contact with the rest of the territory of the Captaincy General of Venezuela and the later republic. About this isolation and the strength - insist on it, we developed a multi-elite, their social ties, cultural, political and economic use - and use-that prosperity for their own benefit. The oft-named autonomy and identity of Zulia, was and is an excuse for their own benefit of that elite, who framed regionalism has subjugated, exploited, and enjoyment of wealth without any scruples. We have said that Rosales - just like Jorge Venancio Pulgar-Sutherland and have employed the enormous historical pride of Zulia for their own purposes. Have called on citizens of Zulia to deal with the central power in a "supposed" self-defense and ended up leaving those who promised to defend.
The obvious question is how this phenomenon has been generated?. Both in the nineteenth century and in the final years of the twentieth century and the beginning of this century, has built an interpretative framework, understood as a set of rules, rituals and symbols used to justify the hegemony of the elite multifunctional. The religious cult of the Virgin of Chiquinquirá, the formal structure of the Catholic Church, the cultural industries controlled by that elite, and the ability to handle economic served - and serves, to associate them with the Zulia. It is interesting to see how propaganda and Pablo Pérez Rosales speaks of the government of Zulia and the means employed in the state song to accompany the release of their works. It is known one of those ads, which for much of its length it does is go with the pictures of works, roads and alterations made by the executive with Anthem. We find there a suggested message: those who Zulia govern are the "others" are explicitly presented as perpetrators of "this Zulia. Anyone who claims to draw on those political leaders any criticism, merely attack the Zulia. Thus we see how to construct an identification between the political representative and the identity of Zulia. That strategy is not new, insist on it-it was implemented in the nineteenth century with success, and is again made with the consent and advice of a group of intellectuals and historians - of great respect and esteem for me, as part of Institutional support team Pablo Pérez y Manuel Rosales. The worst of it is that through this partnership, manipulation concealed the interest of promoting deep feelings of the Venezuelan differential across and from there, holding ideas of secession or autonomy for the territorial integrity risky.
is to feel that there is a great "injustice" manifested by the contribution it makes and receives Zulia thereby seeks to mobilize the Zulia "in defense of the same." This defense is framed in political action of the regional government and their political heads, who appear as "real" champions of the identity of Zulia, when in fact they only defend their own economic interests.
Dr. Juan Eduardo Romero 26/05/2009
Juane1208@gmail.com
historian
How Do U Make Parrot Bay Alcohol
SOCIO-POLITICAL PERSPECTIVES 2010
SOCIO-POLITICAL PERSPECTIVES 2010
Historians are not used to establish situations, but as activists in the immediate history that we are, we make use of prospective studies to raise possible socio-political contexts in 2010. The first is that we must recognize that Chavez's popularity remains, although it has suffered from the effects of the crisis in the electricity sector, as well as cases of corruption. Recent studies of polling (not exactly close to Chavez) indicate that its popularity varies even between 40 and 45% (Datanálisis, IVAD, Consultores 21). That means that from the communication point of view the figure of Chavez remains a reference point and the worst of it (the opposition) is that nobody appears to compete with him.
What this means is that contrary to what some characters start saying the opposition, the chances for them to obtain a majority in the legislative elections of 2010 are not very high. What helps us understand why Chavez, despite being full of a few bad candidates, corruption scandals, excess bureaucracy, will be majority in 2010 is the subject of the public agenda and political agenda. In studies of political communication when talking about public agenda is to explain the importance or relevance to acquire certain themes or topics for hearings or public. This differs from the political agenda, which is one that seeks to establish the response of political actors are the issues arising from ordinary citizens. What we say is that the opposition's political agenda does not match at any time with the public agenda, despite attempts by the media to match and fit so no glue. For example, some figures from the latest survey provided both Datanálisis and Consultores 21 (November 2009). The big issues for citizens - in order of priority- are the main problem is unemployment 24%, improve the economy 18.6%, 18.3% security, housing 5.6%, to improve the health system 5.3%, 4.9% solve social problems, education 4.4%, continue with the ideology 3.9% 3.8% Peace, harmony, end corruption 3.1%, ending the revolution 1.5%, to improve relations with other countries 1.2% , 1.1% live in democracy. As you see, are all issues that call on the world political psychology intrapersonal. While this thought the Venezuelan opposition politicians are bent on the issue of the "dictatorship of Chavez," the follies of Chavez the idea of \u200b\u200b"Cubanize to Venezuela," Chavez, everything revolves around the president. With this, the most important political agenda is not the most important agenda of Venezuelans. And that has its specific political weight, even more it is considered that the issue of the social, economic, equality and social access is the main topic of Chavez.
By this we mean that the gap between the public agenda and policy agenda will cost dear to the opposition to Chavez, despite the errors, waste and mistakes you may commit the government is maintaining the social agenda as the main theme political agenda, making match his speech with almost 82% of voters in the D and E layers which comprise the country's election.
insist, under this scenario we can see three scenarios: 1) the opposition maintains that distancing discourse and if the Chavez get around 120-130 seats in the National Assembly, 2) democratization opposed the election of their candidates and waiving consensus as a way to make up their lists, but still not enough because without a political agenda, in this case Chavez gets between 90 and 110 seats and the opposition between 46 and 75 and the last stage (nearly impossible), is one where the not only democratically elected opposition candidates, the accompanying with a political agenda but also those candidates are not associated with the traditional players (as seen there are many variables to play) then and only then, the opposition can reach 76 to 90 seats putting Chavez in a minority. This latter scenario depends on strict compliance with all the variables, we see very difficult issue given the nature of the political situation. In conclusion, ductal who it hurts, Chavez is here to stay despite their mistakes.
Dr. Juan Eduardo Romero J. Historian
Juane1208@gmail.com
23/12/2009
SOCIO-POLITICAL PERSPECTIVES 2010
Historians are not used to establish situations, but as activists in the immediate history that we are, we make use of prospective studies to raise possible socio-political contexts in 2010. The first is that we must recognize that Chavez's popularity remains, although it has suffered from the effects of the crisis in the electricity sector, as well as cases of corruption. Recent studies of polling (not exactly close to Chavez) indicate that its popularity varies even between 40 and 45% (Datanálisis, IVAD, Consultores 21). That means that from the communication point of view the figure of Chavez remains a reference point and the worst of it (the opposition) is that nobody appears to compete with him.
What this means is that contrary to what some characters start saying the opposition, the chances for them to obtain a majority in the legislative elections of 2010 are not very high. What helps us understand why Chavez, despite being full of a few bad candidates, corruption scandals, excess bureaucracy, will be majority in 2010 is the subject of the public agenda and political agenda. In studies of political communication when talking about public agenda is to explain the importance or relevance to acquire certain themes or topics for hearings or public. This differs from the political agenda, which is one that seeks to establish the response of political actors are the issues arising from ordinary citizens. What we say is that the opposition's political agenda does not match at any time with the public agenda, despite attempts by the media to match and fit so no glue. For example, some figures from the latest survey provided both Datanálisis and Consultores 21 (November 2009). The big issues for citizens - in order of priority- are the main problem is unemployment 24%, improve the economy 18.6%, 18.3% security, housing 5.6%, to improve the health system 5.3%, 4.9% solve social problems, education 4.4%, continue with the ideology 3.9% 3.8% Peace, harmony, end corruption 3.1%, ending the revolution 1.5%, to improve relations with other countries 1.2% , 1.1% live in democracy. As you see, are all issues that call on the world political psychology intrapersonal. While this thought the Venezuelan opposition politicians are bent on the issue of the "dictatorship of Chavez," the follies of Chavez the idea of \u200b\u200b"Cubanize to Venezuela," Chavez, everything revolves around the president. With this, the most important political agenda is not the most important agenda of Venezuelans. And that has its specific political weight, even more it is considered that the issue of the social, economic, equality and social access is the main topic of Chavez.
By this we mean that the gap between the public agenda and policy agenda will cost dear to the opposition to Chavez, despite the errors, waste and mistakes you may commit the government is maintaining the social agenda as the main theme political agenda, making match his speech with almost 82% of voters in the D and E layers which comprise the country's election.
insist, under this scenario we can see three scenarios: 1) the opposition maintains that distancing discourse and if the Chavez get around 120-130 seats in the National Assembly, 2) democratization opposed the election of their candidates and waiving consensus as a way to make up their lists, but still not enough because without a political agenda, in this case Chavez gets between 90 and 110 seats and the opposition between 46 and 75 and the last stage (nearly impossible), is one where the not only democratically elected opposition candidates, the accompanying with a political agenda but also those candidates are not associated with the traditional players (as seen there are many variables to play) then and only then, the opposition can reach 76 to 90 seats putting Chavez in a minority. This latter scenario depends on strict compliance with all the variables, we see very difficult issue given the nature of the political situation. In conclusion, ductal who it hurts, Chavez is here to stay despite their mistakes.
Dr. Juan Eduardo Romero J. Historian
Juane1208@gmail.com
23/12/2009
Monday, December 14, 2009
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